The Transatlantic Economy 2025
Publication
17 Mar 2025
Transatlantic

As headlines blare that Europe and the US are drifting apart, commercial ties between the two sides – the deepest and broadest between any two regions in history – are accelerating. In a new study, authors Daniel Hamilton, Senior Fellow at the Foreign Policy Institute of Johns Hopkins University’s Paul H. Nitze School of Advanced International Studies, and Joseph Quinlan, Senior Fellow at the Transatlantic Leadership Network, value the transatlantic economy at a new estimated high of $9.5 (€8.7) trillion in 2024, up from $8.7 (€8) trillion the previous year. This figure comprises an estimated record $2 (€1.8) trillion in goods and services trade between Europe and the United States and $7.5 (€6.9) trillion in combined affiliate sales. 

The Transatlantic Economy 2025, supported by the American Chamber of Commerce to the EU (AmCham EU) and the U.S. Chamber of Commerce, features the latest insights on jobs, trade and investment between Europe and the United States. The 2025 edition of the study presents record-breaking figures across multiple fronts, including: 

  • Trade in goods: Europe-US goods trade of $1.3 (€1.2) trillion; EU-US goods trade of $976 (€899) billion. 

  • Trade in services: US services exports to the EU of $275 (€253) billion (est.). 

  • Affiliate performance: US affiliate sales in Europe of $4 (€3.7) trillion (est.); European affiliate sales in the US of $3.5 (€3.2) trillion (est.). 

  • Energy partnership: US share of Europe’s LNG supplies reaching 48%; Europe’s share of US LNG global exports hitting 55%.  

Despite this strong performance, however, the study highlights a range of risks for 2025, including uneven growth rates between Europe and the US, competitive pressures from China and the prospect of a transatlantic trade war.  

Reflecting on the findings, Malte Lohan, CEO, AmCham EU, stressed the need to safeguard transatlantic economic ties: ‘The study’s findings demonstrate the importance of economic ties between Europe and the US – and the risk of letting the relationship deteriorate. For companies on both sides, the transatlantic economy is more than just a source of profit. It is a common geoeconomic base that gives them an edge in a fiercely competitive world’.   

‘Leaders on both sides of the Atlantic now have a window of opportunity’, Mr Lohan added, commenting on the prospect of continued transatlantic trade disputes. ‘Rather than engaging in a tit-for-tat that only hurts the two economies, they should come to the negotiating table to work out what a positive deal for the transatlantic economy looks like. The numbers show that it is in both sides’ interests’.

Related items

News
27 Jul 2026

Turnberry Deal has brought a degree of predictability to transatlantic trade and investment, anniversary survey finds

Transatlantic
Read more
Read more about Turnberry Deal has brought a degree of predictability to transatlantic trade and investment, anniversary survey finds
Blog
3 Jul 2026

The transatlantic relationship at 250 years: a shared history and a forged future

On Saturday, 4 July, the US marks 250 years as a nation built on the right to life, liberty and the pursuit of happiness. As Americans at home and abroad celebrate this important milestone, it is an apt moment for Europeans to reflect on their own role in the story of the US. From having shaped the political ideals that are at the heart of modern democracies to becoming a global technological and cultural force, the EU and the US can be proud of all that our shared history has inspired across the world.

This relationship is underpinned by the $9.8 trillion transatlantic economy and the 16 million jobs it supports. However, it was never a given that the ‘Old World’ and the ‘New World’ would forge the largest, most consequential economic relationship on earth. There were periods when wars, economic crises and political shifts kept Europeans and Americans from seeing eye to eye. Yet over time, Europe and the US ultimately found ways of moving forward together, united by aligned interests and shared goals for the future.

Over the centuries, what we achieved together reflects the work not only of political leaders but of ordinary, enterprising citizens, who started businesses and expanded their horizons. They were essential to building the partnership, one transaction and one contract at a time. If we were to rewind to 1776, business owners from Boston and Philadelphia to Berlin and Paris would be familiar with some of the challenges transatlantic business currently faces: shifting policies, supply chain disruptions and uncertainty about what comes next. What might surprise them, however, is the sheer depth and breadth of the partnership in 2026 and its impact on not only Europe and the US but the rest of the world.

The depth of the economy

In the 18th century, crossing the Atlantic took weeks, often making the ocean more of a barrier to trade than a link. ‘Trade’ meant raw and manufactured goods slowly and dangerously sailing on ships between Europe and the nascent US. Merchants could only have dreamed of the $6.4 billion that Europe and the US now trade every single day. With the advent of high-speed transport and the digital economy, every value chain in our economies is shaped by transatlantic commerce. And services have become critical to that. In fact, the EU and the US are the two largest traders of services in the world and are each other’s most important services trading partners.

Important as it is, trade now makes up the smaller part of the $9.8 trillion transatlantic economy: $7.5 trillion comes from selling locally to each other’s markets through our respective foreign subsidiaries, a testament to how deeply integrated the EU-US partnership is. Today, there are 5.3 million employees of European companies in the US and a further 4.6 million employees of US companies in Europe.

The stakes of the partnership

The transatlantic relationship has evolved almost beyond recognition in the last 250 years – giving citizens on both sides of the ocean a myriad reasons to celebrate. It has enabled Europe and the US to grow, innovate and project influence together in a way that would have been impossible alone.

Looking back at the rich shared history of Europe and the US over the past 250 years also provides vital perspective: the undisputed gains for businesses and citizens cannot be taken for granted. The international system is anchored in the transatlantic relationship; the current tensions, rapid technological change and global instability further underscore its vital importance to the world. If businesses and governments grow complacent and fail to maintain the EU-US partnership, the next 250 years could see the relationship lose its ability to protect and nurture the things we hold dear.

This anniversary is the right moment to celebrate America’s role in the world and to recognise how far we’ve come as partners in building our shared destinies. It must also remind us that what the EU and the US have created together is precarious and requires wise and continuous political stewardship from both sides for a prosperous future.

American companies will continue to play their part in bringing the EU and the US together for our shared benefit in a rapidly changing world. On behalf of AmCham EU and our 165 member companies, we congratulate the US on everything it has achieved over the last 250 years, and we join in the celebration of all that we have accomplished together.

Transatlantic
Read more
Read more about The transatlantic relationship at 250 years: a shared history and a forged future
Position Paper
16 Jun 2026

Implementing the EU-US Joint Statement

With the EU having formally adopted the tariff reductions agreed under the EU-US Framework Agreement, the two sides now have an opportunity to enter a new phase.

The agreement has the potential to help restore stability and predictability for citizens and businesses on both sides of the Atlantic and provide the basis for continued collaborationbetween the EU and US. The goal should be to bring their shared $9.8 trillion commercial relationship to a more constructive place, focusing on cooperation where interests align.

Transatlantic
Trade tensions
Read more
Read more about Implementing the EU-US Joint Statement