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Following a year of political and trade tensions between Europe and the United States, commercial ties between the two sides – the deepest and broadest between any two regions in history – have held remarkably strong. In a new study from the American Chamber of Commerce to the EU (AmCham EU) and the US Chamber of Commerce, authors Daniel Hamilton and Joseph Quinlan value the transatlantic economy at a record $9.8 trillion in 2025, up from $9.5 trillion the previous year. This figure comprises an estimated record $2.3 trillion in goods and services trade between Europe and the United States and $7.5 trillion in combined affiliate sales.

On Wednesday, 11 March, the United States Trade Representative launched Section 301 investigations into structural production overcapacity against a range of economies, including the European Union.  We understand that this decision is part of a larger attempt to stabilise the US tariff system in the wake of the Supreme Court ruling striking down the International Emergency Economic Powers Act (IEEPA) tariffs. 

The American Chamber of Commerce to the European Union (AmCham EU) is concerned about the continued uncertainty of the current trade environment. Companies still lack clarity over future tariff rates in both the short- and long-term. We continue to oppose broad-based tariffs as they raise costs for businesses and consumers and disrupt supply chains. 

With potential measures against the EU under consideration, AmCham EU calls on the EU and the US to avoid escalation in the trade dispute. The priority must be to restore stability and predictability in transatlantic trade. The deal struck in the summer is not a perfect solution, but it offers the most realistic path forward given political priorities on both sides. We look to the parties to honour their commitments under the EU-US Framework Agreement. 

The US Administration rightfully identifies overcapacity as a critical issue in the global economy which also affects the European market. We see the EU as part of the solution, rather than the problem. The EU and the US must work together to tackle the real issue at hand: unfair trading practices from non-market economies.  

Will Europe choose alignment or fragmentation in foreign investment screening? In a recent blog for fDi Intelligence, Malte Lohan, CEO, and Andrew Hill, Senior Policy Adviser, AmCham EU, examine how divergent national regimes have created legal uncertainty and unnecessary administrative burden for investors and authorities alike. Today’s patchwork encourages over-notification, overwhelms regulators with low-risk cases and introduces avoidable friction for capital. The revised EU Foreign Investment Screening Regulation presents an opportunity to enhance coherence and competitiveness. Its success will depend on consistent implementation across Member States. Convergence would streamline beneficial investment and strengthen the Single Market, while gold-plating risks renewed fragmentation. Read the full op-ed in fDi Intelligence’s Economic Security Watch.